Prices and purchasing power
A 10% gain does not mean 10% more purchasing power if living costs also rise. Use the inflation scenario to compare the two. An annual country average may differ from the price changes in your household.
Currency and imported costs
If more local currency is needed to buy one dollar, dollar-priced imports cost more before other changes. An investment can rise locally while falling in dollars. Exporters and importers can face different effects.
Growth and a company’s earnings
More national output can create demand, jobs and investment. It does not guarantee that a particular company benefits or that its shares are fairly priced. Check the company’s accounts, debt and market price.
Reserves, funding and the ability to exit
Foreign-currency reserves are one part of the external-financing picture. Check debt, imports and the current central-bank releases. For an investment, also check market liquidity, transfer rules and the currency needed at exit.
Stocks, IPOs, crypto and a business investment need different checks
For stocks or an IPO, verify issuer disclosures, fees and exit liquidity. For crypto, verify the asset, custody, platform and current local rules; a crypto holding is not the same as a listed share. For a business project, test revenue, imported inputs, financing and currency separately.
Country workspaces link to available official evidence and the currency tool. Decision Lab compares assumed buy, wait, stage, call and put outcomes. Neither tool chooses a trade or claims a validated African forecast.